Sullivan, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Sullivan, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.4 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 33,482 | 60.1% | 21.8 pts (12,128 votes) | 55,727 | — | 18.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 42,526 | 67.9% | 36.6 pts (22,900 votes) | 62,598 | -14.7 pts | 22.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 44,808 | 70.0% | 41.3 pts (26,454 votes) | 63,997 | -5.0 pts | 26.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 43,562 | 72.7% | 47.2 pts (28,241 votes) | 59,887 | -6.1 pts | 27.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 46,979 | 75.4% | 55.2 pts (34,401 votes) | 62,278 | -9.8 pts | 30.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 55,860 | 75.1% | 51.9 pts (38,588 votes) | 74,357 | +5.0 pts | 29.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 58,154 | 77.0% | 55.0 pts (41,530 votes) | 75,541 | -2.8 pts | 25.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 152,995 | 36.4% of population |
| 2004 | 152,808 | 41.0% of population |
| 2008 | 156,028 | 41.0% of population |
| 2012 | 156,322 | 38.3% of population |
| 2016 | 156,182 | 39.9% of population |
| 2020 | 158,244 | 47.0% of population |
| 2024 | 162,703 | 46.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Sullivan shifted 33.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Sullivan voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Sullivan has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Sullivan?
Sullivan's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 22.1 points (12,128 votes) out of 55,727 total votes cast.
Has Sullivan ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Sullivan has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Sullivan?
The widest margin on record for Sullivan was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 57.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Sullivan relative to its population?
In 2024, 75,541 votes were recorded in Sullivan against a total population of 162,703 (46.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Sullivan a presidential bellwether county?
Sullivan has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).