Smith, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results

Smith, Tennessee has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2008. In 2024, it was 35.4 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Tennessee
2000 Al Gore Democratic 4,884 66.5% 34.0 pts (2,500 votes) 7,348 — 38.3 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 4,038 51.6% 3.8 pts (300 votes) 7,821 -30.5 pts 18.3 pts more Dem.
2008 John McCain Republican 4,563 58.9% 20.3 pts (1,571 votes) 7,741 -24.7 pts 5.5 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 4,495 63.4% 28.6 pts (2,025 votes) 7,087 -8.3 pts 8.4 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 5,494 73.9% 51.2 pts (3,805 votes) 7,436 -23.9 pts 25.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 7,136 78.8% 58.9 pts (5,334 votes) 9,051 -6.7 pts 36.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 7,655 82.0% 64.9 pts (6,060 votes) 9,336 -5.8 pts 35.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 17,784 41.3% of population
2004 18,302 42.7% of population
2008 19,179 40.4% of population
2012 19,179 37.0% of population
2016 19,526 38.1% of population
2020 19,966 45.3% of population
2024 20,783 44.9% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Smith shifted 99.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+34.4 pts 2004: D+3.9 pts 2008: R+20.8 pts 2012: R+29.1 pts 2016: R+53.0 pts 2020: R+59.7 pts 2024: R+65.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Smith has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Tennessee Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Smith voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Smith has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Smith?

Smith's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 3.9 points (300 votes) out of 7,821 total votes cast.

Has Smith ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Smith changed which party won the county in: 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Smith?

The widest margin on record for Smith was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 65.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Smith relative to its population?

In 2024, 9,336 votes were recorded in Smith against a total population of 20,783 (44.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Smith a presidential bellwether county?

Smith has matched the national popular winner in 2 of the last 7 presidential elections (29%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).