Montgomery, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Montgomery, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 11.4 pts more Dem. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,644 | 50.3% | 2.1 pts (826 votes) | 39,044 | — | 1.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 28,615 | 58.4% | 17.5 pts (8,554 votes) | 48,975 | -15.4 pts | 3.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 30,175 | 53.4% | 7.9 pts (4,459 votes) | 56,518 | +9.6 pts | 7.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 30,245 | 54.4% | 10.3 pts (5,746 votes) | 55,584 | -2.5 pts | 10.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 32,341 | 56.1% | 18.5 pts (10,642 votes) | 57,620 | -9.2 pts | 7.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 42,187 | 55.0% | 12.7 pts (9,715 votes) | 76,758 | +6.7 pts | 10.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 47,795 | 58.5% | 18.4 pts (15,059 votes) | 81,755 | -5.7 pts | 11.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 135,536 | 28.8% of population |
| 2004 | 143,761 | 34.1% of population |
| 2008 | 162,144 | 34.9% of population |
| 2012 | 184,782 | 30.1% of population |
| 2016 | 194,424 | 29.6% of population |
| 2020 | 221,309 | 34.7% of population |
| 2024 | 246,025 | 33.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Montgomery shifted 16.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Montgomery has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Montgomery voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Montgomery has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Montgomery?
Montgomery's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 2.1 points (826 votes) out of 39,044 total votes cast.
Has Montgomery ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Montgomery has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Montgomery?
The widest margin on record for Montgomery was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 19.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Montgomery relative to its population?
In 2024, 81,755 votes were recorded in Montgomery against a total population of 246,025 (33.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Montgomery a presidential bellwether county?
Montgomery has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).