McMinn, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
McMinn, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 34.6 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 10,155 | 61.2% | 24.2 pts (4,013 votes) | 16,600 | — | 20.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,978 | 66.5% | 33.8 pts (6,089 votes) | 17,999 | -9.5 pts | 19.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 12,989 | 69.1% | 39.6 pts (7,448 votes) | 18,789 | -6.1 pts | 24.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,967 | 72.7% | 46.9 pts (8,358 votes) | 17,834 | -7.4 pts | 26.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 14,691 | 78.3% | 59.6 pts (11,181 votes) | 18,755 | -13.9 pts | 34.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 18,198 | 79.7% | 60.6 pts (13,837 votes) | 22,844 | +0.1 pts | 37.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 19,673 | 81.7% | 64.2 pts (15,466 votes) | 24,072 | -3.4 pts | 34.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 49,148 | 33.8% of population |
| 2004 | 50,441 | 35.7% of population |
| 2008 | 52,284 | 35.9% of population |
| 2012 | 52,441 | 34.0% of population |
| 2016 | 52,700 | 35.6% of population |
| 2020 | 53,344 | 42.8% of population |
| 2024 | 56,754 | 42.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in McMinn shifted 40.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
McMinn has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has McMinn voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, McMinn has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in McMinn?
McMinn's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 24.6 points (4,013 votes) out of 16,600 total votes cast.
Has McMinn ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- McMinn has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in McMinn?
The widest margin on record for McMinn was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 64.8 points.
How many votes were cast in McMinn relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,072 votes were recorded in McMinn against a total population of 56,754 (42.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is McMinn a presidential bellwether county?
McMinn has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).