Marshall, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Marshall, Tennessee has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 27.0 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 5,107 | 54.6% | 10.7 pts (1,002 votes) | 9,359 | — | 14.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,825 | 54.9% | 10.4 pts (1,103 votes) | 10,615 | -21.3 pts | 4.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 6,755 | 59.8% | 21.6 pts (2,435 votes) | 11,289 | -11.5 pts | 6.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 6,832 | 63.6% | 28.9 pts (3,107 votes) | 10,741 | -7.4 pts | 8.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,184 | 71.4% | 46.5 pts (5,332 votes) | 11,455 | -18.9 pts | 21.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 11,043 | 74.2% | 50.0 pts (7,438 votes) | 14,878 | -2.5 pts | 27.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 12,426 | 77.8% | 56.6 pts (9,036 votes) | 15,962 | -6.4 pts | 27.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 26,863 | 34.8% of population |
| 2004 | 27,841 | 38.1% of population |
| 2008 | 30,108 | 37.5% of population |
| 2012 | 30,971 | 34.7% of population |
| 2016 | 32,035 | 35.8% of population |
| 2020 | 34,472 | 43.2% of population |
| 2024 | 37,847 | 42.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Marshall shifted 68.0 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Marshall has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Marshall voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Marshall has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Marshall?
Marshall's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 10.5 points (1,103 votes) out of 10,615 total votes cast.
Has Marshall ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Marshall changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Marshall?
The widest margin on record for Marshall was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 57.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Marshall relative to its population?
In 2024, 15,962 votes were recorded in Marshall against a total population of 37,847 (42.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Marshall a presidential bellwether county?
Marshall has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).