Knox, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results

Knox, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 10.3 pts more Dem. than Tennessee overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Tennessee
2000 George W. Bush Republican 86,851 57.7% 17.2 pts (25,882 votes) 150,586 — 13.6 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 110,653 62.1% 25.1 pts (44,732 votes) 178,175 -7.8 pts 10.9 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 113,015 60.7% 23.0 pts (42,800 votes) 186,086 +2.0 pts 8.1 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 109,707 63.6% 29.2 pts (50,308 votes) 172,507 -6.4 pts 9.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 105,767 58.5% 23.7 pts (42,889 votes) 180,697 +4.3 pts 1.8 pts more Dem.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 124,540 56.5% 15.0 pts (33,118 votes) 220,556 +10.1 pts 8.3 pts more Dem.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 130,815 59.0% 19.5 pts (43,299 votes) 221,864 -4.5 pts 10.3 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 382,887 39.3% of population
2004 398,307 44.7% of population
2008 425,276 43.8% of population
2012 440,791 39.1% of population
2016 456,089 39.6% of population
2020 480,530 45.9% of population
2024 506,748 43.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Knox shifted 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+17.5 pts 2004: R+25.3 pts 2008: R+23.4 pts 2012: R+29.7 pts 2016: R+25.4 pts 2020: R+15.3 pts 2024: R+19.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Knox has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Tennessee Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Knox voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Knox has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Knox?

Knox's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 15.3 points (33,118 votes) out of 220,556 total votes cast.

Has Knox ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Knox has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Knox?

The widest margin on record for Knox was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 29.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Knox relative to its population?

In 2024, 221,864 votes were recorded in Knox against a total population of 506,748 (43.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Knox a presidential bellwether county?

Knox has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).