Henderson, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Henderson, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 38.1 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,153 | 61.4% | 23.7 pts (1,987 votes) | 8,399 | — | 20.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,585 | 65.2% | 31.1 pts (3,137 votes) | 10,096 | -7.4 pts | 16.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 7,669 | 70.8% | 42.9 pts (4,648 votes) | 10,834 | -12.2 pts | 28.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 7,421 | 73.8% | 48.8 pts (4,904 votes) | 10,055 | -5.9 pts | 28.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 8,138 | 79.7% | 62.0 pts (6,338 votes) | 10,217 | -14.4 pts | 36.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 9,797 | 81.5% | 64.1 pts (7,705 votes) | 12,020 | -1.0 pts | 41.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 10,083 | 83.7% | 67.9 pts (8,181 votes) | 12,047 | -3.5 pts | 38.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 25,595 | 32.8% of population |
| 2004 | 26,237 | 38.5% of population |
| 2008 | 27,655 | 39.2% of population |
| 2012 | 28,082 | 35.8% of population |
| 2016 | 27,855 | 36.7% of population |
| 2020 | 27,831 | 43.2% of population |
| 2024 | 28,183 | 42.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Henderson shifted 44.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Henderson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Henderson voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Henderson has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Henderson?
Henderson's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 23.9 points (1,987 votes) out of 8,399 total votes cast.
Has Henderson ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Henderson has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Henderson?
The widest margin on record for Henderson was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 68.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Henderson relative to its population?
In 2024, 12,047 votes were recorded in Henderson against a total population of 28,183 (42.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Henderson a presidential bellwether county?
Henderson has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).