Hardeman, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Hardeman, Tennessee has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 5.8 pts more Dem. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 4,953 | 56.3% | 13.9 pts (1,224 votes) | 8,803 | — | 18.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 5,683 | 54.3% | 9.4 pts (981 votes) | 10,462 | -4.7 pts | 23.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,919 | 52.7% | 6.2 pts (694 votes) | 11,237 | -3.2 pts | 21.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,482 | 52.5% | 5.9 pts (617 votes) | 10,439 | -0.3 pts | 26.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 4,919 | 53.0% | 7.9 pts (734 votes) | 9,273 | -14.0 pts | 19.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,760 | 57.2% | 15.7 pts (1,580 votes) | 10,063 | -7.8 pts | 7.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 5,793 | 61.6% | 24.1 pts (2,266 votes) | 9,399 | -8.4 pts | 5.8 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 28,124 | 31.3% of population |
| 2004 | 27,816 | 37.6% of population |
| 2008 | 27,837 | 40.4% of population |
| 2012 | 26,612 | 39.2% of population |
| 2016 | 25,584 | 36.2% of population |
| 2020 | 25,438 | 39.6% of population |
| 2024 | 25,434 | 37.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hardeman shifted 38.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hardeman has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hardeman voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hardeman has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hardeman?
Hardeman's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 6.0 points (617 votes) out of 10,439 total votes cast.
Has Hardeman ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Hardeman changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hardeman?
The widest margin on record for Hardeman was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 24.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Hardeman relative to its population?
In 2024, 9,399 votes were recorded in Hardeman against a total population of 25,434 (37.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hardeman a presidential bellwether county?
Hardeman has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).