Hamilton, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Hamilton, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 16.9 pts more Dem. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 66,605 | 55.3% | 12.4 pts (14,897 votes) | 120,379 | — | 8.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 78,513 | 57.4% | 15.5 pts (21,245 votes) | 136,863 | -3.1 pts | 1.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 81,702 | 55.4% | 11.8 pts (17,456 votes) | 147,520 | +3.7 pts | 3.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 79,933 | 56.6% | 14.9 pts (21,097 votes) | 141,181 | -3.2 pts | 5.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 78,733 | 55.3% | 16.4 pts (23,417 votes) | 142,408 | -2.3 pts | 9.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 92,108 | 53.8% | 9.7 pts (16,586 votes) | 171,113 | +7.6 pts | 13.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 97,195 | 55.7% | 13.0 pts (22,758 votes) | 174,438 | -3.4 pts | 16.9 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 308,547 | 39.0% of population |
| 2004 | 315,396 | 43.4% of population |
| 2008 | 328,711 | 44.9% of population |
| 2012 | 345,693 | 40.8% of population |
| 2016 | 357,778 | 39.8% of population |
| 2020 | 367,891 | 46.5% of population |
| 2024 | 386,256 | 45.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Hamilton shifted 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Hamilton has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Hamilton voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Hamilton has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Hamilton?
Hamilton's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 9.9 points (16,586 votes) out of 171,113 total votes cast.
Has Hamilton ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Hamilton has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Hamilton?
The widest margin on record for Hamilton was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 17.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Hamilton relative to its population?
In 2024, 174,438 votes were recorded in Hamilton against a total population of 386,256 (45.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Hamilton a presidential bellwether county?
Hamilton has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).