Fayette, Tennessee — Presidential Election Results
Fayette, Tennessee has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 12.6 pts more Rep. than Tennessee overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Tennessee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,402 | 55.5% | 11.8 pts (1,365 votes) | 11,529 | — | 8.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 8,960 | 60.8% | 22.2 pts (3,268 votes) | 14,731 | -10.4 pts | 7.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 12,173 | 63.2% | 27.4 pts (5,281 votes) | 19,254 | -5.4 pts | 12.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 12,689 | 64.8% | 30.7 pts (6,001 votes) | 19,574 | -3.3 pts | 10.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,055 | 67.3% | 37.0 pts (7,181 votes) | 19,394 | -7.0 pts | 10.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 15,690 | 68.3% | 37.7 pts (8,663 votes) | 22,984 | -0.2 pts | 14.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 16,756 | 70.7% | 42.4 pts (10,036 votes) | 23,696 | -4.6 pts | 12.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 29,083 | 39.6% of population |
| 2004 | 33,005 | 44.6% of population |
| 2008 | 37,851 | 50.9% of population |
| 2012 | 38,686 | 50.6% of population |
| 2016 | 39,703 | 48.8% of population |
| 2020 | 41,865 | 54.9% of population |
| 2024 | 44,476 | 53.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Fayette shifted 30.8 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Fayette has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Tennessee Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Fayette voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Fayette has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Fayette?
Fayette's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 11.9 points (1,365 votes) out of 11,529 total votes cast.
Has Fayette ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Fayette has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Fayette?
The widest margin on record for Fayette was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 42.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Fayette relative to its population?
In 2024, 23,696 votes were recorded in Fayette against a total population of 44,476 (53.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Fayette a presidential bellwether county?
Fayette has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Tennessee's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).