Marshall, South Dakota — Presidential Election Results
Marshall, South Dakota has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 5.4 pts more Dem. than South Dakota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. South Dakota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,097 | 52.8% | 7.6 pts (158 votes) | 2,079 | — | 15.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,242 | 52.5% | 6.0 pts (143 votes) | 2,364 | +1.7 pts | 15.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 1,261 | 57.9% | 16.6 pts (361 votes) | 2,177 | +22.8 pts | 25.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 1,061 | 53.4% | 8.7 pts (172 votes) | 1,987 | -7.9 pts | 27.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,056 | 54.2% | 15.5 pts (302 votes) | 1,947 | -25.5 pts | 15.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,287 | 59.1% | 19.7 pts (429 votes) | 2,178 | -3.3 pts | 6.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,288 | 61.1% | 24.0 pts (506 votes) | 2,109 | -4.4 pts | 5.4 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 4,593 | 45.3% of population |
| 2004 | 4,542 | 52.0% of population |
| 2008 | 4,618 | 47.1% of population |
| 2012 | 4,690 | 42.4% of population |
| 2016 | 4,833 | 40.3% of population |
| 2020 | 4,298 | 50.7% of population |
| 2024 | 4,395 | 48.0% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Marshall shifted 16.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Marshall has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and South Dakota's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other South Dakota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Marshall voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Marshall has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Marshall?
Marshall's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 6.1 points (143 votes) out of 2,364 total votes cast.
Has Marshall ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Marshall changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Marshall?
The widest margin on record for Marshall was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 24.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Marshall relative to its population?
In 2024, 2,109 votes were recorded in Marshall against a total population of 4,395 (48.0% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Marshall a presidential bellwether county?
Marshall has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and South Dakota's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).