Kershaw, South Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Kershaw, South Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 10.5 pts more Rep. than South Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. South Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,911 | 60.5% | 22.8 pts (4,483 votes) | 19,677 | — | 6.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,160 | 61.8% | 24.6 pts (5,645 votes) | 22,915 | -1.7 pts | 7.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 16,466 | 58.8% | 18.7 pts (5,240 votes) | 27,985 | +6.0 pts | 9.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 16,324 | 58.4% | 18.1 pts (5,065 votes) | 27,946 | +0.6 pts | 7.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 17,542 | 60.5% | 24.9 pts (7,212 votes) | 28,995 | -7.5 pts | 11.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 20,471 | 60.9% | 23.1 pts (7,772 votes) | 33,629 | +2.4 pts | 11.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 21,289 | 63.5% | 28.2 pts (9,463 votes) | 33,533 | -5.1 pts | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 52,851 | 37.2% of population |
| 2004 | 55,415 | 41.4% of population |
| 2008 | 60,395 | 46.3% of population |
| 2012 | 62,293 | 44.9% of population |
| 2016 | 64,333 | 45.1% of population |
| 2020 | 65,596 | 51.3% of population |
| 2024 | 71,698 | 46.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Kershaw shifted 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Kershaw has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and South Carolina's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other South Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Kershaw voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Kershaw has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Kershaw?
Kershaw's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 18.4 points (5,065 votes) out of 27,946 total votes cast.
Has Kershaw ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Kershaw has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Kershaw?
The widest margin on record for Kershaw was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 28.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Kershaw relative to its population?
In 2024, 33,533 votes were recorded in Kershaw against a total population of 71,698 (46.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Kershaw a presidential bellwether county?
Kershaw has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and South Carolina's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).