Barnwell, South Carolina — Presidential Election Results

Barnwell, South Carolina has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 2.4 pts more Dem. than South Carolina overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. South Carolina
2000 George W. Bush Republican 4,521 54.6% 10.4 pts (860 votes) 8,276 — 5.8 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 4,606 53.0% 7.2 pts (624 votes) 8,685 +3.2 pts 10.0 pts more Dem.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 4,931 50.3% 1.7 pts (162 votes) 9,798 +8.9 pts 10.8 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 5,188 52.3% 5.3 pts (529 votes) 9,923 +3.7 pts 16.0 pts more Dem.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 4,889 51.5% 5.2 pts (489 votes) 9,485 -10.6 pts 9.7 pts more Dem.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 5,492 53.2% 7.5 pts (772 votes) 10,321 -2.3 pts 4.3 pts more Dem.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 5,605 57.2% 15.5 pts (1,523 votes) 9,803 -8.2 pts 2.4 pts more Dem.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 23,478 35.3% of population
2004 22,980 37.8% of population
2008 22,761 43.0% of population
2012 22,357 44.4% of population
2016 21,606 43.9% of population
2020 20,590 50.1% of population
2024 20,495 47.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Barnwell shifted 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+10.5 pts 2004: R+7.3 pts 2008: D+1.7 pts 2012: D+5.4 pts 2016: R+5.3 pts 2020: R+7.6 pts 2024: R+15.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Barnwell has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and South Carolina's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other South Carolina Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Barnwell voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Barnwell has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Barnwell?

Barnwell's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 1.7 points (162 votes) out of 9,798 total votes cast.

Has Barnwell ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Barnwell changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Barnwell?

The widest margin on record for Barnwell was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 15.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Barnwell relative to its population?

In 2024, 9,803 votes were recorded in Barnwell against a total population of 20,495 (47.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Barnwell a presidential bellwether county?

Barnwell has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and South Carolina's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).