Union, Oregon — Presidential Election Results

Union, Oregon has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 56.4 pts more Rep. than Oregon overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Oregon
2000 George W. Bush Republican 7,836 64.9% 35.3 pts (4,259 votes) 12,076 — 37.8 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 8,879 65.7% 32.9 pts (4,451 votes) 13,519 +3.9 pts 37.7 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 7,581 60.2% 23.6 pts (2,968 votes) 12,594 +9.1 pts 41.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 7,636 63.3% 30.3 pts (3,663 votes) 12,070 -7.2 pts 44.1 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 8,431 65.0% 40.0 pts (5,182 votes) 12,968 -12.8 pts 56.7 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 10,298 68.9% 40.4 pts (6,044 votes) 14,944 +2.8 pts 58.1 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 9,942 68.2% 40.0 pts (5,835 votes) 14,574 +0.0 pts 56.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 24,537 49.2% of population
2004 24,513 55.2% of population
2008 25,473 49.4% of population
2012 25,802 46.8% of population
2016 26,061 49.8% of population
2020 26,168 57.1% of population
2024 26,058 55.9% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Union shifted 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+37.3 pts 2004: R+33.4 pts 2008: R+24.3 pts 2012: R+31.6 pts 2016: R+44.4 pts 2020: R+41.5 pts 2024: R+41.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Oregon Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Union voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Union has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Union?

Union's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 24.3 points (2,968 votes) out of 12,594 total votes cast.

Has Union ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Union has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Union?

The widest margin on record for Union was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 44.4 points.

How many votes were cast in Union relative to its population?

In 2024, 14,574 votes were recorded in Union against a total population of 26,058 (55.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Union a presidential bellwether county?

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).