Baker, Oregon — Presidential Election Results
Baker, Oregon has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 65.0 pts more Rep. than Oregon overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oregon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 5,618 | 68.0% | 41.5 pts (3,423 votes) | 8,258 | — | 44.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,253 | 69.2% | 40.3 pts (3,637 votes) | 9,034 | +2.8 pts | 45.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 5,650 | 64.4% | 32.4 pts (2,845 votes) | 8,777 | +7.4 pts | 50.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 5,702 | 67.5% | 39.5 pts (3,333 votes) | 8,448 | -7.6 pts | 53.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,218 | 70.8% | 50.4 pts (4,421 votes) | 8,779 | -13.9 pts | 67.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,352 | 74.0% | 50.4 pts (5,006 votes) | 9,932 | +3.5 pts | 68.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,060 | 72.8% | 48.7 pts (4,717 votes) | 9,694 | +1.5 pts | 65.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 16,714 | 49.4% of population |
| 2004 | 16,272 | 55.5% of population |
| 2008 | 16,195 | 54.2% of population |
| 2012 | 15,993 | 52.8% of population |
| 2016 | 15,971 | 55.0% of population |
| 2020 | 16,731 | 59.4% of population |
| 2024 | 16,750 | 57.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Baker shifted 6.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Baker has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oregon Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Baker voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Baker has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Baker?
Baker's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 33.6 points (2,845 votes) out of 8,777 total votes cast.
Has Baker ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Baker has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Baker?
The widest margin on record for Baker was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 55.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Baker relative to its population?
In 2024, 9,694 votes were recorded in Baker against a total population of 16,750 (57.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Baker a presidential bellwether county?
Baker has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).