Umatilla, Oregon — Presidential Election Results

Umatilla, Oregon has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 53.6 pts more Rep. than Oregon overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Oregon
2000 George W. Bush Republican 14,140 61.3% 27.5 pts (6,331 votes) 23,060 — 29.3 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 17,068 64.8% 31.1 pts (8,184 votes) 26,322 -2.7 pts 35.8 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 15,254 59.8% 22.6 pts (5,770 votes) 25,523 +8.2 pts 40.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 15,499 62.1% 27.7 pts (6,915 votes) 24,969 -5.4 pts 41.3 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 17,059 61.8% 34.0 pts (9,386 votes) 27,597 -9.2 pts 50.3 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 21,270 64.4% 32.0 pts (10,563 votes) 33,038 +4.9 pts 49.6 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 20,973 67.2% 37.5 pts (11,722 votes) 31,225 -5.8 pts 53.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 70,728 32.6% of population
2004 73,463 35.8% of population
2008 74,488 34.3% of population
2012 77,005 32.4% of population
2016 76,686 36.0% of population
2020 79,893 41.4% of population
2024 80,491 38.8% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Umatilla shifted 9.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+28.8 pts 2004: R+31.5 pts 2008: R+23.3 pts 2012: R+28.7 pts 2016: R+38.0 pts 2020: R+33.0 pts 2024: R+38.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Umatilla has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Oregon Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Umatilla voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Umatilla has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Umatilla?

Umatilla's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 23.3 points (5,770 votes) out of 25,523 total votes cast.

Has Umatilla ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Umatilla has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Umatilla?

The widest margin on record for Umatilla was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 38.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Umatilla relative to its population?

In 2024, 31,225 votes were recorded in Umatilla against a total population of 80,491 (38.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Umatilla a presidential bellwether county?

Umatilla has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).