Polk, Oregon — Presidential Election Results
Polk, Oregon has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 18.7 pts more Rep. than Oregon overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oregon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,988 | 52.7% | 10.8 pts (3,067 votes) | 28,449 | — | 11.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 19,508 | 55.0% | 11.3 pts (4,024 votes) | 35,489 | -0.1 pts | 15.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 17,714 | 48.9% | 0.5 pts (178 votes) | 36,207 | +11.0 pts | 17.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 17,819 | 50.5% | 4.3 pts (1,527 votes) | 35,257 | -4.0 pts | 17.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 18,940 | 47.0% | 6.3 pts (2,520 votes) | 40,295 | -2.7 pts | 19.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,732 | 49.1% | 1.7 pts (815 votes) | 48,291 | +5.4 pts | 18.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 23,768 | 49.9% | 3.6 pts (1,734 votes) | 47,593 | -2.0 pts | 18.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 62,596 | 45.4% of population |
| 2004 | 66,569 | 53.3% of population |
| 2008 | 74,346 | 48.7% of population |
| 2012 | 76,209 | 46.3% of population |
| 2016 | 81,436 | 49.5% of population |
| 2020 | 88,003 | 54.9% of population |
| 2024 | 90,549 | 52.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Polk shifted 7.6 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Polk has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oregon Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Polk voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Polk has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Polk?
Polk's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 0.5 points (178 votes) out of 36,207 total votes cast.
Has Polk ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Polk has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Polk?
The widest margin on record for Polk was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 11.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Polk relative to its population?
In 2024, 47,593 votes were recorded in Polk against a total population of 90,549 (52.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Polk a presidential bellwether county?
Polk has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).