Marion, Oregon — Presidential Election Results
Marion, Oregon has voted Republican in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 16.9 pts more Rep. than Oregon overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oregon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 57,443 | 50.7% | 7.1 pts (8,013 votes) | 113,334 | — | 8.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 69,900 | 53.9% | 9.4 pts (12,229 votes) | 129,619 | -2.1 pts | 13.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 61,816 | 49.6% | 2.2 pts (2,757 votes) | 124,563 | +11.9 pts | 14.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 60,190 | 50.0% | 3.2 pts (3,814 votes) | 120,376 | -5.6 pts | 15.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 63,377 | 46.3% | 4.1 pts (5,589 votes) | 136,840 | -1.3 pts | 16.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 80,872 | 48.9% | 1.1 pts (1,870 votes) | 165,534 | +5.8 pts | 15.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 77,089 | 49.2% | 2.0 pts (3,119 votes) | 156,691 | -3.2 pts | 16.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 285,411 | 39.7% of population |
| 2004 | 297,139 | 43.6% of population |
| 2008 | 309,729 | 40.2% of population |
| 2012 | 319,867 | 37.6% of population |
| 2016 | 335,382 | 40.8% of population |
| 2020 | 346,305 | 47.8% of population |
| 2024 | 352,867 | 44.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Marion shifted 5.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Marion has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oregon Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Marion voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Marion has voted Democratic in 2 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 5 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Marion?
Marion's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 1.2 points (1,870 votes) out of 165,534 total votes cast.
Has Marion ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Marion changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Marion?
The widest margin on record for Marion was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 9.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Marion relative to its population?
In 2024, 156,691 votes were recorded in Marion against a total population of 352,867 (44.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Marion a presidential bellwether county?
Marion has matched the national popular winner in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections (86%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).