Josephine, Oregon — Presidential Election Results
Josephine, Oregon has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 44.4 pts more Rep. than Oregon overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Oregon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 22,186 | 60.4% | 28.1 pts (10,322 votes) | 36,733 | — | 30.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 26,241 | 62.1% | 26.1 pts (11,027 votes) | 42,275 | +3.7 pts | 30.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 22,973 | 54.6% | 13.2 pts (5,561 votes) | 42,049 | +12.8 pts | 30.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 23,673 | 58.8% | 21.7 pts (8,720 votes) | 40,238 | -8.8 pts | 35.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 26,923 | 60.4% | 30.2 pts (13,470 votes) | 44,560 | -10.8 pts | 45.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 31,751 | 61.5% | 25.8 pts (13,300 votes) | 51,641 | +6.9 pts | 43.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 31,129 | 62.7% | 28.6 pts (14,201 votes) | 49,628 | -3.1 pts | 44.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 75,851 | 48.4% of population |
| 2004 | 79,729 | 53.0% of population |
| 2008 | 82,389 | 51.0% of population |
| 2012 | 82,755 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 85,504 | 52.1% of population |
| 2020 | 88,228 | 58.5% of population |
| 2024 | 88,276 | 56.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Josephine shifted 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Josephine has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Oregon Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Josephine voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Josephine has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Josephine?
Josephine's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 13.8 points (5,561 votes) out of 42,049 total votes cast.
Has Josephine ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Josephine has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Josephine?
The widest margin on record for Josephine was in 2016, when Donald Trump (Republican) won by 33.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Josephine relative to its population?
In 2024, 49,628 votes were recorded in Josephine against a total population of 88,276 (56.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Josephine a presidential bellwether county?
Josephine has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Oregon's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).