Shelby, Ohio — Presidential Election Results

Shelby, Ohio has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 54.0 pts more Rep. than Ohio overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Ohio
2000 George W. Bush Republican 12,476 63.4% 29.9 pts (5,883 votes) 19,670 — 27.2 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 16,204 70.9% 42.3 pts (9,670 votes) 22,854 -11.7 pts 40.4 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 15,924 67.3% 36.4 pts (8,607 votes) 23,668 +5.5 pts 41.7 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 17,142 71.8% 45.2 pts (10,799 votes) 23,866 -8.9 pts 49.0 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 18,590 78.3% 60.4 pts (14,347 votes) 23,740 -16.9 pts 54.3 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 20,422 80.9% 63.2 pts (15,957 votes) 25,258 -1.3 pts 56.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 20,740 82.0% 64.8 pts (16,390 votes) 25,288 -1.2 pts 54.0 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 48,360 40.7% of population
2004 48,791 46.8% of population
2008 49,454 47.9% of population
2012 49,159 48.5% of population
2016 48,765 48.7% of population
2020 48,154 52.5% of population
2024 47,952 52.7% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Shelby shifted 34.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+30.9 pts 2004: R+42.5 pts 2008: R+37.0 pts 2012: R+46.0 pts 2016: R+62.8 pts 2020: R+64.1 pts 2024: R+65.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Shelby has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Ohio Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Shelby voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Shelby has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Shelby?

Shelby's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 30.9 points (5,883 votes) out of 19,670 total votes cast.

Has Shelby ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Shelby has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Shelby?

The widest margin on record for Shelby was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 65.3 points.

How many votes were cast in Shelby relative to its population?

In 2024, 25,288 votes were recorded in Shelby against a total population of 47,952 (52.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Shelby a presidential bellwether county?

Shelby has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).