Ashtabula, Ohio — Presidential Election Results
Ashtabula, Ohio has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 17.3 pts more Rep. than Ohio overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Ohio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 19,831 | 50.2% | 4.8 pts (1,891 votes) | 39,472 | — | 8.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 24,061 | 53.0% | 6.7 pts (3,022 votes) | 45,409 | +1.7 pts | 8.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 25,027 | 55.8% | 13.5 pts (6,078 votes) | 44,874 | +7.1 pts | 9.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 23,803 | 55.3% | 12.8 pts (5,505 votes) | 43,064 | -0.7 pts | 10.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 23,318 | 57.1% | 18.9 pts (7,741 votes) | 40,867 | -33.0 pts | 11.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 26,890 | 60.9% | 23.5 pts (10,393 votes) | 44,147 | -4.1 pts | 15.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 27,656 | 63.8% | 28.4 pts (12,311 votes) | 43,374 | -4.7 pts | 17.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 102,705 | 38.4% of population |
| 2004 | 102,648 | 44.2% of population |
| 2008 | 101,826 | 44.1% of population |
| 2012 | 100,252 | 43.0% of population |
| 2016 | 98,171 | 41.6% of population |
| 2020 | 97,512 | 45.3% of population |
| 2024 | 96,906 | 44.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Ashtabula shifted 33.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Ashtabula has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Ohio Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Ashtabula voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Ashtabula has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Ashtabula?
Ashtabula's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 5.0 points (1,891 votes) out of 39,472 total votes cast.
Has Ashtabula ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Ashtabula changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Ashtabula?
The widest margin on record for Ashtabula was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 28.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Ashtabula relative to its population?
In 2024, 43,374 votes were recorded in Ashtabula against a total population of 96,906 (44.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Ashtabula a presidential bellwether county?
Ashtabula has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).