Paulding, Ohio — Presidential Election Results

Paulding, Ohio has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 45.4 pts more Rep. than Ohio overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Ohio
2000 George W. Bush Republican 5,210 58.2% 20.4 pts (1,826 votes) 8,946 — 17.6 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 6,205 62.8% 26.3 pts (2,595 votes) 9,879 -5.2 pts 24.3 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 5,317 54.4% 11.8 pts (1,152 votes) 9,769 +14.3 pts 16.8 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 5,354 58.7% 19.9 pts (1,816 votes) 9,128 -8.3 pts 23.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 6,500 71.8% 48.7 pts (4,407 votes) 9,047 -30.9 pts 42.8 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 7,086 74.8% 51.5 pts (4,873 votes) 9,467 -1.1 pts 44.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 7,203 77.6% 56.2 pts (5,216 votes) 9,277 -4.4 pts 45.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 20,251 44.2% of population
2004 19,803 49.9% of population
2008 19,670 49.7% of population
2012 19,248 47.4% of population
2016 18,839 48.0% of population
2020 18,807 50.3% of population
2024 18,755 49.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Paulding shifted 35.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+21.2 pts 2004: R+26.4 pts 2008: R+12.1 pts 2012: R+20.4 pts 2016: R+51.3 pts 2020: R+52.4 pts 2024: R+56.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Paulding has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Ohio Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Paulding voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Paulding has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Paulding?

Paulding's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 12.1 points (1,152 votes) out of 9,769 total votes cast.

Has Paulding ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Paulding has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Paulding?

The widest margin on record for Paulding was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 56.8 points.

How many votes were cast in Paulding relative to its population?

In 2024, 9,277 votes were recorded in Paulding against a total population of 18,755 (49.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Paulding a presidential bellwether county?

Paulding has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).