Mahoning, Ohio — Presidential Election Results
Mahoning, Ohio has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2020. In 2024, it was 1.8 pts more Dem. than Ohio overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Ohio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 69,212 | 60.6% | 25.2 pts (28,752 votes) | 114,119 | — | 29.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 83,069 | 62.6% | 25.9 pts (34,357 votes) | 132,731 | -0.1 pts | 28.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 79,173 | 62.3% | 26.6 pts (33,854 votes) | 127,032 | +1.1 pts | 22.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 77,059 | 63.5% | 28.4 pts (34,418 votes) | 121,310 | +1.6 pts | 25.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 57,381 | 49.9% | 3.3 pts (3,765 votes) | 115,072 | -25.4 pts | 11.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 59,903 | 50.4% | 1.9 pts (2,262 votes) | 118,966 | -5.3 pts | 6.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 61,249 | 54.3% | 9.4 pts (10,613 votes) | 112,705 | -7.6 pts | 1.8 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 257,104 | 44.4% of population |
| 2004 | 249,825 | 53.1% of population |
| 2008 | 241,572 | 52.6% of population |
| 2012 | 235,702 | 51.5% of population |
| 2016 | 230,269 | 50.0% of population |
| 2020 | 228,017 | 52.2% of population |
| 2024 | 225,786 | 49.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Mahoning shifted 35.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Mahoning has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Ohio Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Mahoning voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Mahoning has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Mahoning?
Mahoning's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 1.9 points (2,262 votes) out of 118,966 total votes cast.
Has Mahoning ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Mahoning changed which party won the county in: 2020, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Mahoning?
The widest margin on record for Mahoning was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 28.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Mahoning relative to its population?
In 2024, 112,705 votes were recorded in Mahoning against a total population of 225,786 (49.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Mahoning a presidential bellwether county?
Mahoning has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 4 of 7 (57%).