Holmes, Ohio — Presidential Election Results

Holmes, Ohio has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 58.4 pts more Rep. than Ohio overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. Ohio
2000 George W. Bush Republican 6,754 73.9% 51.3 pts (4,688 votes) 9,145 — 49.5 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 8,466 75.5% 51.4 pts (5,771 votes) 11,218 +1.4 pts 49.6 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 7,720 69.5% 41.2 pts (4,579 votes) 11,113 +9.5 pts 46.8 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 8,702 75.4% 52.8 pts (6,094 votes) 11,536 -11.7 pts 56.9 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 8,720 78.9% 62.7 pts (6,932 votes) 11,054 -12.1 pts 57.4 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 10,796 83.4% 68.0 pts (8,802 votes) 12,947 -2.9 pts 60.7 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 10,384 84.2% 69.2 pts (8,530 votes) 12,335 -0.9 pts 58.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 39,049 23.4% of population
2004 41,370 27.1% of population
2008 42,029 26.4% of population
2012 43,128 26.7% of population
2016 43,847 25.2% of population
2020 44,236 29.3% of population
2024 44,668 27.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Holmes shifted 16.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+53.2 pts 2004: R+51.7 pts 2008: R+42.2 pts 2012: R+53.9 pts 2016: R+66.0 pts 2020: R+68.8 pts 2024: R+69.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Holmes has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other Ohio Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Holmes voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Holmes has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Holmes?

Holmes's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 42.2 points (4,579 votes) out of 11,113 total votes cast.

Has Holmes ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Holmes has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Holmes?

The widest margin on record for Holmes was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 69.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Holmes relative to its population?

In 2024, 12,335 votes were recorded in Holmes against a total population of 44,668 (27.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Holmes a presidential bellwether county?

Holmes has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).