Guernsey, Ohio — Presidential Election Results
Guernsey, Ohio has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 41.1 pts more Rep. than Ohio overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Ohio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 8,181 | 53.0% | 10.0 pts (1,538 votes) | 15,430 | — | 6.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,961 | 55.8% | 12.3 pts (2,193 votes) | 17,840 | -2.0 pts | 10.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 9,197 | 53.1% | 9.1 pts (1,572 votes) | 17,325 | +3.0 pts | 14.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 8,993 | 53.5% | 9.2 pts (1,543 votes) | 16,814 | -0.0 pts | 12.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 11,445 | 69.1% | 42.8 pts (7,086 votes) | 16,557 | -35.5 pts | 36.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,407 | 73.5% | 48.4 pts (8,830 votes) | 18,230 | -4.3 pts | 40.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,314 | 75.6% | 52.0 pts (9,160 votes) | 17,601 | -3.3 pts | 41.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 40,803 | 37.8% of population |
| 2004 | 40,965 | 43.5% of population |
| 2008 | 40,347 | 42.9% of population |
| 2012 | 39,876 | 42.2% of population |
| 2016 | 39,211 | 42.2% of population |
| 2020 | 38,419 | 47.5% of population |
| 2024 | 38,219 | 46.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Guernsey shifted 42.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Guernsey has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Ohio Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Guernsey voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Guernsey has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Guernsey?
Guernsey's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 9.3 points (1,572 votes) out of 17,325 total votes cast.
Has Guernsey ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Guernsey has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Guernsey?
The widest margin on record for Guernsey was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 52.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Guernsey relative to its population?
In 2024, 17,601 votes were recorded in Guernsey against a total population of 38,219 (46.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Guernsey a presidential bellwether county?
Guernsey has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).