Erie, Ohio — Presidential Election Results
Erie, Ohio has voted Democratic in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2016. In 2024, it was 3.0 pts more Rep. than Ohio overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Ohio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 17,732 | 50.6% | 4.6 pts (1,627 votes) | 35,015 | — | 8.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 21,408 | 53.4% | 7.0 pts (2,807 votes) | 40,076 | +2.2 pts | 9.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 23,148 | 56.1% | 13.9 pts (5,716 votes) | 41,229 | +7.1 pts | 9.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 21,793 | 55.3% | 12.3 pts (4,841 votes) | 39,405 | -1.6 pts | 9.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 19,648 | 52.3% | 9.6 pts (3,591 votes) | 37,578 | -22.6 pts | 1.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,160 | 54.9% | 11.6 pts (4,667 votes) | 40,335 | -1.7 pts | 3.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 22,493 | 56.6% | 14.1 pts (5,622 votes) | 39,749 | -2.5 pts | 3.0 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 79,662 | 44.0% of population |
| 2004 | 78,596 | 51.0% of population |
| 2008 | 77,573 | 53.1% of population |
| 2012 | 76,428 | 51.6% of population |
| 2016 | 74,999 | 50.1% of population |
| 2020 | 75,482 | 53.4% of population |
| 2024 | 73,841 | 53.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Erie shifted 19.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Erie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Ohio Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Erie voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Erie has voted Democratic in 4 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 3 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Erie?
Erie's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 4.8 points (1,627 votes) out of 35,015 total votes cast.
Has Erie ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Erie changed which party won the county in: 2016, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Erie?
The widest margin on record for Erie was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 14.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Erie relative to its population?
In 2024, 39,749 votes were recorded in Erie against a total population of 73,841 (53.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Erie a presidential bellwether county?
Erie has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Ohio's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).