Traill, North Dakota — Presidential Election Results
Traill, North Dakota has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 5.2 pts more Dem. than North Dakota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Dakota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,392 | 58.2% | 21.4 pts (880 votes) | 4,112 | — | 6.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,543 | 59.9% | 21.0 pts (892 votes) | 4,248 | +1.3 pts | 6.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 2,136 | 52.9% | 7.2 pts (291 votes) | 4,041 | +28.6 pts | 16.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,996 | 50.9% | 4.7 pts (185 votes) | 3,921 | -12.2 pts | 15.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,265 | 57.6% | 26.0 pts (1,024 votes) | 3,933 | -24.3 pts | 10.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,522 | 61.0% | 24.9 pts (1,029 votes) | 4,136 | +3.6 pts | 8.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,650 | 64.4% | 31.4 pts (1,291 votes) | 4,115 | -6.6 pts | 5.2 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 8,475 | 48.5% of population |
| 2004 | 8,353 | 50.9% of population |
| 2008 | 8,157 | 49.5% of population |
| 2012 | 8,070 | 48.6% of population |
| 2016 | 8,001 | 49.2% of population |
| 2020 | 7,979 | 51.8% of population |
| 2024 | 7,989 | 51.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Traill shifted 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Traill has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and North Dakota's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Dakota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Traill voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Traill has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Traill?
Traill's closest recorded margin was in 2012, when Mitt Romney (Republican) won by 4.9 points (185 votes) out of 3,921 total votes cast.
Has Traill ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Traill changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Traill?
The widest margin on record for Traill was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 32.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Traill relative to its population?
In 2024, 4,115 votes were recorded in Traill against a total population of 7,989 (51.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Traill a presidential bellwether county?
Traill has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and North Dakota's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).