Cavalier, North Dakota — Presidential Election Results
Cavalier, North Dakota has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 12.3 pts more Rep. than North Dakota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Dakota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,513 | 63.8% | 37.7 pts (895 votes) | 2,371 | — | 12.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 1,522 | 62.3% | 26.0 pts (635 votes) | 2,444 | +15.6 pts | 1.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,128 | 53.0% | 9.3 pts (198 votes) | 2,130 | +16.7 pts | 0.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,195 | 57.8% | 18.2 pts (377 votes) | 2,069 | -9.1 pts | 1.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 1,357 | 67.6% | 43.9 pts (881 votes) | 2,006 | -29.3 pts | 8.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,499 | 74.2% | 50.7 pts (1,025 votes) | 2,020 | -3.9 pts | 17.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 1,461 | 73.5% | 48.8 pts (970 votes) | 1,987 | +2.3 pts | 12.3 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 4,811 | 49.3% of population |
| 2004 | 4,456 | 54.8% of population |
| 2008 | 4,008 | 53.1% of population |
| 2012 | 3,923 | 52.7% of population |
| 2016 | 3,824 | 52.5% of population |
| 2020 | 3,700 | 54.6% of population |
| 2024 | 3,567 | 55.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cavalier shifted 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Cavalier has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Dakota's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Dakota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Cavalier voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Cavalier has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Cavalier?
Cavalier's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 9.6 points (198 votes) out of 2,130 total votes cast.
Has Cavalier ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Cavalier has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cavalier?
The widest margin on record for Cavalier was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 52.0 points.
How many votes were cast in Cavalier relative to its population?
In 2024, 1,987 votes were recorded in Cavalier against a total population of 3,567 (55.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Cavalier a presidential bellwether county?
Cavalier has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Dakota's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).