Pembina, North Dakota — Presidential Election Results
Pembina, North Dakota has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 16.5 pts more Rep. than North Dakota overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Dakota |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,430 | 64.3% | 35.4 pts (1,337 votes) | 3,779 | — | 8.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,466 | 64.0% | 29.7 pts (1,145 votes) | 3,856 | +7.7 pts | 2.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 1,722 | 52.1% | 6.9 pts (228 votes) | 3,307 | +23.1 pts | 1.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 1,899 | 58.3% | 19.8 pts (646 votes) | 3,255 | -13.4 pts | 0.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 2,208 | 70.0% | 48.4 pts (1,527 votes) | 3,153 | -32.4 pts | 13.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,460 | 73.9% | 50.3 pts (1,674 votes) | 3,331 | +1.3 pts | 17.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 2,350 | 75.5% | 52.9 pts (1,646 votes) | 3,112 | -2.3 pts | 16.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 8,590 | 44.0% of population |
| 2004 | 8,088 | 47.7% of population |
| 2008 | 7,452 | 44.4% of population |
| 2012 | 7,220 | 45.1% of population |
| 2016 | 7,046 | 44.7% of population |
| 2020 | 6,826 | 48.8% of population |
| 2024 | 6,588 | 47.2% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Pembina shifted 15.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Pembina has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Dakota's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Dakota Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Pembina voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Pembina has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Pembina?
Pembina's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 7.1 points (228 votes) out of 3,307 total votes cast.
Has Pembina ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Pembina has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Pembina?
The widest margin on record for Pembina was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 53.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Pembina relative to its population?
In 2024, 3,112 votes were recorded in Pembina against a total population of 6,588 (47.2% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Pembina a presidential bellwether county?
Pembina has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Dakota's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).