Vance, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Vance, North Carolina has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 16.7 pts more Dem. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 7,092 | 55.8% | 12.0 pts (1,528 votes) | 12,701 | — | 25.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 8,762 | 55.9% | 12.0 pts (1,878 votes) | 15,677 | -0.1 pts | 24.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,166 | 63.1% | 26.6 pts (5,560 votes) | 20,871 | +14.8 pts | 26.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 13,323 | 63.9% | 28.3 pts (5,894 votes) | 20,854 | +1.6 pts | 30.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 12,229 | 61.2% | 24.5 pts (4,897 votes) | 19,977 | -3.4 pts | 28.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 12,431 | 59.2% | 19.2 pts (4,040 votes) | 20,999 | -5.6 pts | 20.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 11,292 | 56.2% | 13.3 pts (2,678 votes) | 20,092 | -5.9 pts | 16.7 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 43,159 | 29.4% of population |
| 2004 | 44,081 | 35.6% of population |
| 2008 | 44,977 | 46.4% of population |
| 2012 | 45,093 | 46.2% of population |
| 2016 | 44,485 | 44.9% of population |
| 2020 | 42,559 | 49.3% of population |
| 2024 | 42,337 | 47.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Vance shifted 1.4 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Vance has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Vance voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Vance has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Vance?
Vance's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when John Kerry (Democratic) won by 12.0 points (1,878 votes) out of 15,677 total votes cast.
Has Vance ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Vance has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Vance?
The widest margin on record for Vance was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 28.4 points.
How many votes were cast in Vance relative to its population?
In 2024, 20,092 votes were recorded in Vance against a total population of 42,337 (47.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Vance a presidential bellwether county?
Vance has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).