Ashe, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results

Ashe, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 41.6 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. North Carolina
2000 George W. Bush Republican 6,226 60.4% 21.5 pts (2,215 votes) 10,316 — 8.7 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 7,292 61.7% 23.8 pts (2,815 votes) 11,823 -2.3 pts 11.4 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 7,916 60.6% 23.3 pts (3,044 votes) 13,069 +0.1 pts 24.1 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 8,242 65.4% 32.7 pts (4,126 votes) 12,610 -9.6 pts 31.3 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 9,412 70.1% 44.0 pts (5,912 votes) 13,424 -12.4 pts 42.0 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 11,451 72.4% 46.1 pts (7,287 votes) 15,814 -0.9 pts 45.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 11,629 71.5% 44.3 pts (7,198 votes) 16,253 +1.8 pts 41.6 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 24,480 42.1% of population
2004 25,684 46.0% of population
2008 26,858 48.7% of population
2012 26,924 46.8% of population
2016 26,600 50.5% of population
2020 26,590 59.5% of population
2024 27,266 59.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Ashe shifted 23.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+21.6 pts 2004: R+23.9 pts 2008: R+23.8 pts 2012: R+33.4 pts 2016: R+45.8 pts 2020: R+46.7 pts 2024: R+44.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Ashe has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other North Carolina Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Ashe voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Ashe has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Ashe?

Ashe's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 21.6 points (2,215 votes) out of 10,316 total votes cast.

Has Ashe ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Ashe has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Ashe?

The widest margin on record for Ashe was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 46.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Ashe relative to its population?

In 2024, 16,253 votes were recorded in Ashe against a total population of 27,266 (59.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Ashe a presidential bellwether county?

Ashe has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).