Union, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results

Union, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 22.3 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. North Carolina
2000 George W. Bush Republican 31,876 67.6% 36.0 pts (16,986 votes) 47,161 — 23.4 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 42,820 70.2% 40.7 pts (24,846 votes) 61,001 -4.5 pts 28.4 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 54,123 62.9% 26.6 pts (22,934 votes) 86,089 +14.0 pts 27.2 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 61,107 64.5% 30.2 pts (28,634 votes) 94,728 -3.7 pts 28.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 66,707 63.1% 30.6 pts (32,370 votes) 105,710 -1.4 pts 28.2 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 80,382 61.4% 24.2 pts (31,657 votes) 131,011 +7.5 pts 23.2 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 86,271 61.9% 25.2 pts (35,103 votes) 139,355 -1.0 pts 22.3 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 125,573 37.6% of population
2004 151,452 40.3% of population
2008 193,678 44.4% of population
2012 208,069 45.5% of population
2016 226,279 46.7% of population
2020 239,688 54.7% of population
2024 263,386 52.9% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Union shifted 10.8 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+36.3 pts 2004: R+40.9 pts 2008: R+26.9 pts 2012: R+30.6 pts 2016: R+32.0 pts 2020: R+24.5 pts 2024: R+25.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other North Carolina Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Union voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Union has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Union?

Union's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 24.5 points (31,657 votes) out of 131,011 total votes cast.

Has Union ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Union has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Union?

The widest margin on record for Union was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 40.9 points.

How many votes were cast in Union relative to its population?

In 2024, 139,355 votes were recorded in Union against a total population of 263,386 (52.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Union a presidential bellwether county?

Union has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).