Surry, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results

Surry, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 50.4 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. North Carolina
2000 George W. Bush Republican 15,401 65.9% 32.7 pts (7,644 votes) 23,358 — 20.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 17,587 67.7% 35.7 pts (9,283 votes) 25,992 -2.8 pts 23.4 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 18,730 63.4% 28.0 pts (8,255 votes) 29,525 +7.6 pts 28.6 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 19,923 67.6% 36.7 pts (10,811 votes) 29,470 -9.0 pts 35.2 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 23,671 73.5% 50.3 pts (16,183 votes) 32,196 -14.7 pts 48.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 27,538 75.2% 51.4 pts (18,817 votes) 36,638 +0.0 pts 50.5 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 28,565 76.2% 53.2 pts (19,952 votes) 37,508 -1.8 pts 50.4 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 71,308 32.8% of population
2004 72,219 36.0% of population
2008 73,404 40.2% of population
2012 73,295 40.2% of population
2016 72,008 44.7% of population
2020 71,371 51.3% of population
2024 71,547 52.4% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Surry shifted 20.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+33.0 pts 2004: R+35.9 pts 2008: R+28.3 pts 2012: R+37.2 pts 2016: R+51.9 pts 2020: R+51.9 pts 2024: R+53.7 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Surry has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other North Carolina Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Surry voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Surry has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Surry?

Surry's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 28.3 points (8,255 votes) out of 29,525 total votes cast.

Has Surry ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Surry has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Surry?

The widest margin on record for Surry was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 53.7 points.

How many votes were cast in Surry relative to its population?

In 2024, 37,508 votes were recorded in Surry against a total population of 71,547 (52.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Surry a presidential bellwether county?

Surry has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).