Scotland, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Scotland, North Carolina has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2020. In 2024, it was 3.7 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 5,627 | 59.8% | 20.1 pts (1,887 votes) | 9,403 | — | 33.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 6,386 | 55.3% | 10.8 pts (1,245 votes) | 11,547 | -9.3 pts | 23.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,151 | 57.3% | 15.1 pts (2,146 votes) | 14,217 | +4.4 pts | 14.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 8,215 | 58.0% | 16.8 pts (2,384 votes) | 14,156 | +1.8 pts | 19.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 7,319 | 52.5% | 7.6 pts (1,063 votes) | 13,928 | -9.1 pts | 11.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,473 | 50.6% | 1.9 pts (287 votes) | 14,775 | -9.8 pts | 0.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,767 | 53.1% | 6.9 pts (1,013 votes) | 14,626 | -5.0 pts | 3.7 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 35,944 | 26.2% of population |
| 2004 | 36,446 | 31.7% of population |
| 2008 | 36,463 | 39.0% of population |
| 2012 | 36,093 | 39.2% of population |
| 2016 | 35,309 | 39.4% of population |
| 2020 | 33,420 | 44.2% of population |
| 2024 | 33,898 | 43.1% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Scotland shifted 27.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Scotland has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Scotland voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Scotland has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Scotland?
Scotland's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 2.0 points (287 votes) out of 14,775 total votes cast.
Has Scotland ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Scotland changed which party won the county in: 2020, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Scotland?
The widest margin on record for Scotland was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 20.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Scotland relative to its population?
In 2024, 14,626 votes were recorded in Scotland against a total population of 33,898 (43.1% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Scotland a presidential bellwether county?
Scotland has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 3 of 7 (43%).