Pender, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results

Pender, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 32.0 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. North Carolina
2000 George W. Bush Republican 7,661 54.1% 8.8 pts (1,246 votes) 14,154 — 4.1 pts more Dem.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 10,037 58.7% 17.8 pts (3,038 votes) 17,085 -9.0 pts 5.3 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 13,618 57.3% 15.6 pts (3,711 votes) 23,749 +2.1 pts 16.1 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 14,617 59.6% 20.3 pts (4,985 votes) 24,527 -4.8 pts 18.5 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 17,639 63.3% 29.7 pts (8,285 votes) 27,885 -10.1 pts 26.9 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 21,956 64.3% 29.9 pts (10,233 votes) 34,169 +0.3 pts 29.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 26,042 66.9% 34.9 pts (13,582 votes) 38,909 -4.9 pts 32.0 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 41,212 34.3% of population
2004 44,136 38.7% of population
2008 50,551 47.0% of population
2012 53,714 45.7% of population
2016 58,771 47.4% of population
2020 60,625 56.4% of population
2024 70,077 55.5% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Pender shifted 26.4 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+8.9 pts 2004: R+17.8 pts 2008: R+15.8 pts 2012: R+20.6 pts 2016: R+30.7 pts 2020: R+30.4 pts 2024: R+35.3 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Pender has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other North Carolina Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Pender voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Pender has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Pender?

Pender's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 8.9 points (1,246 votes) out of 14,154 total votes cast.

Has Pender ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Pender has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Pender?

The widest margin on record for Pender was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 35.3 points.

How many votes were cast in Pender relative to its population?

In 2024, 38,909 votes were recorded in Pender against a total population of 70,077 (55.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Pender a presidential bellwether county?

Pender has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).