Orange, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Orange, North Carolina has voted Democratic in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 55.0 pts more Dem. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 30,921 | 62.7% | 26.3 pts (12,991 votes) | 49,344 | — | 39.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 42,910 | 66.9% | 34.5 pts (22,139 votes) | 64,153 | +8.2 pts | 47.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 53,806 | 71.8% | 44.8 pts (33,540 votes) | 74,910 | +10.5 pts | 44.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 53,901 | 70.2% | 42.2 pts (32,362 votes) | 76,757 | -2.4 pts | 45.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 59,923 | 72.8% | 50.2 pts (41,366 votes) | 82,340 | +9.8 pts | 56.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 63,594 | 74.8% | 51.1 pts (43,418 votes) | 84,997 | -0.9 pts | 53.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 65,444 | 74.5% | 50.8 pts (44,638 votes) | 87,807 | -0.1 pts | 55.0 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 116,141 | 42.5% of population |
| 2004 | 119,320 | 53.8% of population |
| 2008 | 129,764 | 57.7% of population |
| 2012 | 137,817 | 55.7% of population |
| 2016 | 142,800 | 57.7% of population |
| 2020 | 143,732 | 59.1% of population |
| 2024 | 152,877 | 57.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Orange shifted 25.2 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Orange has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Orange voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Orange has voted Democratic in 7 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 0 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Orange?
Orange's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 26.6 points (12,991 votes) out of 49,344 total votes cast.
Has Orange ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Orange has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Orange?
The widest margin on record for Orange was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 52.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Orange relative to its population?
In 2024, 87,807 votes were recorded in Orange against a total population of 152,877 (57.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Orange a presidential bellwether county?
Orange has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).