Lenoir, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Lenoir, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 3.6 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 11,512 | 54.4% | 9.4 pts (1,985 votes) | 21,163 | — | 3.5 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 12,939 | 55.8% | 11.8 pts (2,732 votes) | 23,179 | -2.4 pts | 0.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 13,401 | 49.8% | 0.1 pts (23 votes) | 26,897 | +11.7 pts | 0.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 13,980 | 49.8% | 0.1 pts (32 votes) | 28,086 | -0.0 pts | 2.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 13,613 | 50.8% | 3.7 pts (979 votes) | 26,807 | -3.6 pts | 0.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 14,590 | 51.4% | 3.5 pts (985 votes) | 28,409 | +0.2 pts | 2.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 14,564 | 53.0% | 6.8 pts (1,864 votes) | 27,503 | -3.3 pts | 3.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 59,556 | 35.5% of population |
| 2004 | 59,088 | 39.2% of population |
| 2008 | 59,398 | 45.3% of population |
| 2012 | 59,114 | 47.5% of population |
| 2016 | 57,240 | 46.8% of population |
| 2020 | 55,058 | 51.6% of population |
| 2024 | 55,332 | 49.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lenoir shifted 2.6 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Lenoir has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Lenoir voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Lenoir has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Lenoir?
Lenoir's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 0.1 points (23 votes) out of 26,897 total votes cast.
Has Lenoir ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Lenoir has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lenoir?
The widest margin on record for Lenoir was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 11.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Lenoir relative to its population?
In 2024, 27,503 votes were recorded in Lenoir against a total population of 55,332 (49.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Lenoir a presidential bellwether county?
Lenoir has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).