Harnett, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Harnett, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 22.1 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 14,762 | 61.1% | 23.2 pts (5,607 votes) | 24,167 | — | 10.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 20,922 | 64.2% | 28.7 pts (9,359 votes) | 32,571 | -5.4 pts | 16.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 23,579 | 57.9% | 16.7 pts (6,794 votes) | 40,705 | +12.0 pts | 17.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 25,565 | 58.9% | 19.0 pts (8,234 votes) | 43,415 | -2.4 pts | 17.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 27,614 | 59.9% | 23.6 pts (10,877 votes) | 46,065 | -5.3 pts | 20.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 35,177 | 60.3% | 22.4 pts (13,084 votes) | 58,293 | +1.7 pts | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 39,440 | 61.9% | 25.0 pts (15,968 votes) | 63,757 | -2.5 pts | 22.1 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 91,393 | 26.4% of population |
| 2004 | 98,545 | 33.1% of population |
| 2008 | 108,752 | 37.4% of population |
| 2012 | 122,204 | 35.5% of population |
| 2016 | 130,674 | 35.3% of population |
| 2020 | 133,716 | 43.6% of population |
| 2024 | 146,096 | 43.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Harnett shifted 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Harnett has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Harnett voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Harnett has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Harnett?
Harnett's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 16.8 points (6,794 votes) out of 40,705 total votes cast.
Has Harnett ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Harnett has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Harnett?
The widest margin on record for Harnett was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 28.8 points.
How many votes were cast in Harnett relative to its population?
In 2024, 63,757 votes were recorded in Harnett against a total population of 146,096 (43.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Harnett a presidential bellwether county?
Harnett has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).