Graham, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Graham, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 61.2 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,304 | 68.6% | 38.6 pts (1,298 votes) | 3,361 | — | 26.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 2,693 | 67.5% | 35.6 pts (1,421 votes) | 3,987 | +3.4 pts | 23.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 2,824 | 67.7% | 37.4 pts (1,559 votes) | 4,171 | -2.3 pts | 38.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 2,750 | 69.7% | 41.3 pts (1,631 votes) | 3,947 | -4.0 pts | 40.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 3,283 | 78.8% | 60.3 pts (2,515 votes) | 4,168 | -19.9 pts | 58.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,710 | 79.5% | 60.1 pts (2,805 votes) | 4,665 | +1.3 pts | 59.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 3,883 | 81.3% | 63.7 pts (3,044 votes) | 4,779 | -3.7 pts | 61.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 7,994 | 42.0% of population |
| 2004 | 8,382 | 47.6% of population |
| 2008 | 8,742 | 47.7% of population |
| 2012 | 8,707 | 45.3% of population |
| 2016 | 8,531 | 48.9% of population |
| 2020 | 8,039 | 58.0% of population |
| 2024 | 8,179 | 58.4% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Graham shifted 25.2 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Graham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Graham voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Graham has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Graham?
Graham's closest recorded margin was in 2004, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 35.8 points (1,421 votes) out of 3,987 total votes cast.
Has Graham ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Graham has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Graham?
The widest margin on record for Graham was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 64.5 points.
How many votes were cast in Graham relative to its population?
In 2024, 4,779 votes were recorded in Graham against a total population of 8,179 (58.4% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Graham a presidential bellwether county?
Graham has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).