Duplin, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Duplin, North Carolina has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 25.9 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,840 | 54.5% | 9.5 pts (1,365 votes) | 14,390 | — | 3.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,611 | 58.0% | 16.2 pts (2,688 votes) | 16,583 | -6.7 pts | 3.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 10,834 | 54.4% | 9.4 pts (1,876 votes) | 19,904 | +6.8 pts | 9.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 11,416 | 55.4% | 11.6 pts (2,383 votes) | 20,592 | -2.2 pts | 9.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 12,217 | 58.6% | 18.9 pts (3,934 votes) | 20,856 | -7.5 pts | 15.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 13,793 | 60.7% | 22.1 pts (5,026 votes) | 22,715 | -3.1 pts | 20.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 14,677 | 64.1% | 28.9 pts (6,620 votes) | 22,898 | -6.8 pts | 25.9 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 49,236 | 29.2% of population |
| 2004 | 52,732 | 31.4% of population |
| 2008 | 56,810 | 35.0% of population |
| 2012 | 59,449 | 34.6% of population |
| 2016 | 59,275 | 35.2% of population |
| 2020 | 48,668 | 46.7% of population |
| 2024 | 50,539 | 45.3% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Duplin shifted 19.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Duplin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Duplin voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Duplin has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Duplin?
Duplin's closest recorded margin was in 2008, when John McCain (Republican) won by 9.5 points (1,876 votes) out of 19,904 total votes cast.
Has Duplin ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Duplin has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Duplin?
The widest margin on record for Duplin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 29.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Duplin relative to its population?
In 2024, 22,898 votes were recorded in Duplin against a total population of 50,539 (45.3% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Duplin a presidential bellwether county?
Duplin has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).