Cumberland, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Cumberland, North Carolina has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2008. In 2024, it was 16.8 pts more Dem. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 38,626 | 50.1% | 0.6 pts (497 votes) | 77,151 | — | 13.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 49,139 | 51.6% | 3.5 pts (3,351 votes) | 95,226 | -4.2 pts | 9.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 74,693 | 58.5% | 17.7 pts (22,542 votes) | 127,575 | +21.3 pts | 17.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 75,792 | 59.4% | 19.7 pts (25,126 votes) | 127,641 | +2.1 pts | 21.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 71,605 | 56.2% | 16.0 pts (20,340 votes) | 127,506 | -3.3 pts | 20.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 84,469 | 57.4% | 16.6 pts (24,437 votes) | 147,150 | +0.4 pts | 18.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 78,631 | 56.0% | 13.4 pts (18,791 votes) | 140,513 | -3.3 pts | 16.8 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 303,755 | 25.4% of population |
| 2004 | 307,629 | 31.0% of population |
| 2008 | 311,800 | 40.9% of population |
| 2012 | 329,985 | 38.7% of population |
| 2016 | 333,167 | 38.3% of population |
| 2020 | 337,195 | 43.6% of population |
| 2024 | 338,430 | 41.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cumberland shifted 12.9 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Cumberland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Cumberland voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Cumberland has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Cumberland?
Cumberland's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 0.6 points (497 votes) out of 77,151 total votes cast.
Has Cumberland ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Cumberland changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2008, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cumberland?
The widest margin on record for Cumberland was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 19.9 points.
How many votes were cast in Cumberland relative to its population?
In 2024, 140,513 votes were recorded in Cumberland against a total population of 338,430 (41.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Cumberland a presidential bellwether county?
Cumberland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).