Caswell, North Carolina — Presidential Election Results
Caswell, North Carolina has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2012. In 2024, it was 21.5 pts more Rep. than North Carolina overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,270 | 50.7% | 2.1 pts (179 votes) | 8,422 | — | 10.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 4,868 | 51.6% | 3.5 pts (329 votes) | 9,437 | -1.4 pts | 9.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,545 | 51.0% | 3.1 pts (337 votes) | 10,862 | +6.6 pts | 2.8 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 5,594 | 50.7% | 2.2 pts (246 votes) | 11,039 | -5.4 pts | 0.2 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 6,026 | 54.4% | 11.1 pts (1,234 votes) | 11,070 | -9.2 pts | 7.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,089 | 58.8% | 18.5 pts (2,229 votes) | 12,051 | -7.2 pts | 17.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,445 | 61.8% | 24.5 pts (2,952 votes) | 12,040 | -6.1 pts | 21.5 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 23,527 | 35.8% of population |
| 2004 | 23,801 | 39.6% of population |
| 2008 | 23,912 | 45.4% of population |
| 2012 | 23,042 | 47.9% of population |
| 2016 | 22,755 | 48.6% of population |
| 2020 | 22,473 | 53.6% of population |
| 2024 | 22,363 | 53.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Caswell shifted 22.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Caswell has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other North Carolina Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Caswell voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Caswell has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Caswell?
Caswell's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 2.1 points (179 votes) out of 8,422 total votes cast.
Has Caswell ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Caswell changed which party won the county in: 2008, 2012, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Caswell?
The widest margin on record for Caswell was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 24.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Caswell relative to its population?
In 2024, 12,040 votes were recorded in Caswell against a total population of 22,363 (53.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Caswell a presidential bellwether county?
Caswell has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and North Carolina's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).