Ocean, New Jersey — Presidential Election Results

Ocean, New Jersey has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 42.5 pts more Rep. than New Jersey overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New Jersey
2000 George W. Bush Republican 105,684 48.8% 1.7 pts (3,580 votes) 216,393 — 18.1 pts more Rep.
2004 George W. Bush Republican 152,204 59.9% 20.6 pts (52,365 votes) 254,306 -19.1 pts 27.6 pts more Rep.
2008 John McCain Republican 160,677 59.2% 18.6 pts (50,488 votes) 271,460 +2.1 pts 34.4 pts more Rep.
2012 Mitt Romney Republican 146,474 58.3% 17.6 pts (44,174 votes) 251,275 +0.9 pts 35.7 pts more Rep.
2016 Donald Trump Republican 179,079 65.3% 33.5 pts (91,929 votes) 274,362 -16.8 pts 49.1 pts more Rep.
2020 Donald J Trump Republican 217,740 63.8% 28.8 pts (98,284 votes) 341,516 +5.4 pts 45.3 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 227,232 67.4% 36.0 pts (121,443 votes) 337,135 -7.3 pts 42.5 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 513,608 42.1% of population
2004 551,262 46.1% of population
2008 569,485 47.7% of population
2012 579,932 43.3% of population
2016 590,897 46.4% of population
2020 638,554 53.5% of population
2024 666,434 50.6% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Ocean shifted 34.7 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: R+1.7 pts 2004: R+20.8 pts 2008: R+18.6 pts 2012: R+17.8 pts 2016: R+34.5 pts 2020: R+29.1 pts 2024: R+36.5 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Ocean has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Jersey's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New Jersey Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Ocean voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Ocean has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Ocean?

Ocean's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 1.7 points (3,580 votes) out of 216,393 total votes cast.

Has Ocean ever flipped between parties?

Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Ocean has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Ocean?

The widest margin on record for Ocean was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 36.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Ocean relative to its population?

In 2024, 337,135 votes were recorded in Ocean against a total population of 666,434 (50.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Ocean a presidential bellwether county?

Ocean has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Jersey's own statewide winner in 0 of 7 (0%).