Cumberland, New Jersey — Presidential Election Results

Cumberland, New Jersey has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 9.8 pts more Rep. than New Jersey overall.

Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024

Full Election History, 2000–2024

Year Winner Party Votes Vote Share Margin Total Votes Cast Swing Vs. New Jersey
2000 Al Gore Democratic 28,188 57.9% 19.1 pts (9,306 votes) 48,684 — 3.3 pts more Dem.
2004 John Kerry Democratic 27,875 52.4% 6.6 pts (3,513 votes) 53,185 -13.0 pts 0.1 pts more Rep.
2008 Barack Obama Democratic 34,919 60.7% 21.8 pts (12,559 votes) 57,484 +15.2 pts 6.2 pts more Dem.
2012 Barack Obama Democratic 34,055 61.6% 24.2 pts (13,397 votes) 55,292 +2.6 pts 6.5 pts more Dem.
2016 Hillary Clinton Democratic 27,771 51.4% 6.1 pts (3,318 votes) 54,004 -18.1 pts 8.2 pts more Rep.
2020 Joseph R Biden Jr Democratic 32,742 52.5% 6.1 pts (3,790 votes) 62,408 -0.2 pts 10.0 pts more Rep.
2024 Donald J Trump Republican 28,675 51.3% 3.8 pts (2,098 votes) 55,885 -9.9 pts 9.8 pts more Rep.

Population Context

Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Year County Population Votes Cast (% of Population)
2000 146,263 33.3% of population
2004 149,837 35.5% of population
2008 155,738 36.9% of population
2012 156,934 35.2% of population
2016 153,233 35.2% of population
2020 153,724 40.6% of population
2024 155,678 35.9% of population

Trend

Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Cumberland shifted 23.6 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.

Margin Over Time

Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.

2000: D+19.8 pts 2004: D+6.7 pts 2008: D+21.9 pts 2012: D+24.5 pts 2016: D+6.4 pts 2020: D+6.1 pts 2024: R+3.8 pts 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024

Bellwether Status

Cumberland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Jersey's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.

Related Pages

Other New Jersey Counties

Frequently Asked Questions

How has Cumberland voted in presidential elections since 2000?

Since 2000, Cumberland has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.

What was the closest presidential election in Cumberland?

Cumberland's closest recorded margin was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 3.8 points (2,098 votes) out of 55,885 total votes cast.

Has Cumberland ever flipped between parties?

Yes. Cumberland changed which party won the county in: 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.

What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Cumberland?

The widest margin on record for Cumberland was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 24.5 points.

How many votes were cast in Cumberland relative to its population?

In 2024, 55,885 votes were recorded in Cumberland against a total population of 155,678 (35.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.

Is Cumberland a presidential bellwether county?

Cumberland has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and New Jersey's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).