Monmouth, New Jersey — Presidential Election Results
Monmouth, New Jersey has voted Republican in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2004. In 2024, it was 17.6 pts more Rep. than New Jersey overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. New Jersey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 131,476 | 50.2% | 4.6 pts (12,185 votes) | 262,141 | — | 11.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 163,650 | 54.6% | 10.0 pts (29,877 votes) | 299,939 | -14.9 pts | 16.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 160,433 | 51.8% | 3.8 pts (11,696 votes) | 309,915 | +6.3 pts | 19.5 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 147,513 | 51.9% | 5.1 pts (14,368 votes) | 283,978 | -1.3 pts | 23.1 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 166,723 | 53.0% | 9.4 pts (29,542 votes) | 314,377 | -4.6 pts | 24.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 191,808 | 50.7% | 2.8 pts (10,517 votes) | 378,151 | +6.9 pts | 19.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 197,409 | 54.8% | 11.4 pts (41,027 votes) | 360,143 | -8.8 pts | 17.6 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 616,849 | 42.5% of population |
| 2004 | 628,605 | 47.7% of population |
| 2008 | 627,348 | 49.4% of population |
| 2012 | 627,641 | 45.2% of population |
| 2016 | 622,971 | 50.5% of population |
| 2020 | 642,778 | 58.8% of population |
| 2024 | 647,520 | 55.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Monmouth shifted 16.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Monmouth has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Jersey's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other New Jersey Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Monmouth voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Monmouth has voted Democratic in 1 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 6 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Monmouth?
Monmouth's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 2.8 points (10,517 votes) out of 378,151 total votes cast.
Has Monmouth ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Monmouth changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Monmouth?
The widest margin on record for Monmouth was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 11.6 points.
How many votes were cast in Monmouth relative to its population?
In 2024, 360,143 votes were recorded in Monmouth against a total population of 647,520 (55.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Monmouth a presidential bellwether county?
Monmouth has matched the national popular winner in 3 of the last 7 presidential elections (43%), and New Jersey's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).