Neshoba, Mississippi — Presidential Election Results
Neshoba, Mississippi has voted Republican in 7 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). In 2024, it was 28.2 pts more Rep. than Mississippi overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Mississippi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 6,409 | 70.7% | 42.4 pts (3,846 votes) | 9,066 | — | 25.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | George W. Bush | Republican | 7,581 | 74.8% | 50.0 pts (5,066 votes) | 10,133 | -7.3 pts | 29.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | John McCain | Republican | 8,209 | 72.3% | 44.9 pts (5,095 votes) | 11,352 | +5.2 pts | 31.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney | Republican | 7,837 | 71.1% | 43.1 pts (4,748 votes) | 11,015 | +1.5 pts | 31.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 7,679 | 72.8% | 47.0 pts (4,964 votes) | 10,553 | -4.3 pts | 29.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,320 | 71.1% | 43.2 pts (5,060 votes) | 11,703 | +4.1 pts | 26.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 8,154 | 75.1% | 50.9 pts (5,532 votes) | 10,861 | -7.6 pts | 28.2 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 28,689 | 31.6% of population |
| 2004 | 29,139 | 34.8% of population |
| 2008 | 29,562 | 38.4% of population |
| 2012 | 29,742 | 37.0% of population |
| 2016 | 29,473 | 35.8% of population |
| 2020 | 29,003 | 40.4% of population |
| 2024 | 28,973 | 37.5% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Neshoba shifted 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Neshoba has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Mississippi's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Mississippi Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Neshoba voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Neshoba has voted Democratic in 0 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 7 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Neshoba?
Neshoba's closest recorded margin was in 2000, when George W. Bush (Republican) won by 42.9 points (3,846 votes) out of 9,066 total votes cast.
Has Neshoba ever flipped between parties?
Not in the 2000-2024 record on this page -- Neshoba has voted for the same party in every recorded presidential election in that span.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Neshoba?
The widest margin on record for Neshoba was in 2024, when Donald J Trump (Republican) won by 51.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Neshoba relative to its population?
In 2024, 10,861 votes were recorded in Neshoba against a total population of 28,973 (37.5% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Neshoba a presidential bellwether county?
Neshoba has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Mississippi's own statewide winner in 7 of 7 (100%).