Marshall, Mississippi — Presidential Election Results
Marshall, Mississippi has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 15.8 pts more Dem. than Mississippi overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Mississippi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 7,735 | 61.4% | 23.9 pts (3,012 votes) | 12,592 | — | 41.4 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 8,472 | 58.5% | 17.5 pts (2,540 votes) | 14,486 | -6.5 pts | 38.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,685 | 58.9% | 18.3 pts (3,002 votes) | 16,445 | +0.7 pts | 31.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 9,650 | 59.4% | 19.6 pts (3,177 votes) | 16,240 | +1.4 pts | 31.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 8,023 | 54.1% | 9.7 pts (1,436 votes) | 14,839 | -9.9 pts | 28.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 8,057 | 50.9% | 3.1 pts (491 votes) | 15,817 | -6.7 pts | 19.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 7,977 | 53.2% | 7.3 pts (1,089 votes) | 14,983 | -10.5 pts | 15.8 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 35,004 | 36.0% of population |
| 2004 | 35,720 | 40.6% of population |
| 2008 | 37,351 | 44.0% of population |
| 2012 | 36,551 | 44.4% of population |
| 2016 | 35,785 | 41.5% of population |
| 2020 | 33,783 | 46.8% of population |
| 2024 | 34,374 | 43.6% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Marshall shifted 31.5 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Marshall has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Mississippi's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Mississippi Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Marshall voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Marshall has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Marshall?
Marshall's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 3.1 points (491 votes) out of 15,817 total votes cast.
Has Marshall ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Marshall changed which party won the county in: 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Marshall?
The widest margin on record for Marshall was in 2000, when Al Gore (Democratic) won by 24.2 points.
How many votes were cast in Marshall relative to its population?
In 2024, 14,983 votes were recorded in Marshall against a total population of 34,374 (43.6% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Marshall a presidential bellwether county?
Marshall has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Mississippi's own statewide winner in 1 of 7 (14%).