Jasper, Mississippi — Presidential Election Results
Jasper, Mississippi has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 18.1 pts more Dem. than Mississippi overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Mississippi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 3,294 | 51.1% | 2.9 pts (190 votes) | 6,447 | — | 14.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 4,081 | 51.5% | 3.4 pts (273 votes) | 7,926 | +6.4 pts | 23.9 pts more Dem. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,025 | 54.7% | 9.7 pts (890 votes) | 9,187 | +6.3 pts | 23.0 pts more Dem. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 5,097 | 54.6% | 9.7 pts (904 votes) | 9,340 | +0.0 pts | 21.3 pts more Dem. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 4,368 | 51.5% | 3.9 pts (330 votes) | 8,475 | -5.8 pts | 22.1 pts more Dem. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 4,341 | 49.7% | 0.4 pts (39 votes) | 8,736 | -3.5 pts | 17.2 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 4,118 | 52.2% | 5.0 pts (396 votes) | 7,890 | -5.5 pts | 18.1 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 18,110 | 35.6% of population |
| 2004 | 17,751 | 44.7% of population |
| 2008 | 17,550 | 52.3% of population |
| 2012 | 16,564 | 56.4% of population |
| 2016 | 16,588 | 51.1% of population |
| 2020 | 16,352 | 53.4% of population |
| 2024 | 15,799 | 49.9% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Jasper shifted 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Jasper has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Mississippi's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Mississippi Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Jasper voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Jasper has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Jasper?
Jasper's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 0.5 points (39 votes) out of 8,736 total votes cast.
Has Jasper ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Jasper changed which party won the county in: 2004, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Jasper?
The widest margin on record for Jasper was in 2012, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 9.7 points.
How many votes were cast in Jasper relative to its population?
In 2024, 7,890 votes were recorded in Jasper against a total population of 15,799 (49.9% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Jasper a presidential bellwether county?
Jasper has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Mississippi's own statewide winner in 2 of 7 (29%).