Lincoln, Maine — Presidential Election Results
Lincoln, Maine has voted Democratic in 6 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Democratic in 2004. In 2024, it was 4.9 pts more Dem. than Maine overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Maine |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | George W. Bush | Republican | 9,457 | 48.1% | 4.2 pts (823 votes) | 19,671 | — | 10.0 pts more Rep. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 10,548 | 51.2% | 4.2 pts (872 votes) | 20,608 | +8.9 pts | 3.9 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 11,886 | 55.1% | 12.0 pts (2,599 votes) | 21,584 | +8.0 pts | 5.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 11,315 | 54.5% | 11.6 pts (2,416 votes) | 20,757 | -0.3 pts | 3.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 10,241 | 47.6% | 2.4 pts (514 votes) | 21,503 | -9.4 pts | 0.3 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 12,684 | 53.2% | 10.2 pts (2,428 votes) | 23,857 | +8.0 pts | 1.7 pts more Dem. |
| 2024 | Kamala D Harris | Democratic | 13,110 | 54.6% | 11.3 pts (2,701 votes) | 24,003 | +0.9 pts | 4.9 pts more Dem. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 33,697 | 58.4% of population |
| 2004 | 34,827 | 59.2% of population |
| 2008 | 34,768 | 62.1% of population |
| 2012 | 34,152 | 60.8% of population |
| 2016 | 33,974 | 63.3% of population |
| 2020 | 35,256 | 67.7% of population |
| 2024 | 36,491 | 65.8% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Lincoln shifted 16.0 points toward the Democratic candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Lincoln has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maine's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Maine Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Lincoln voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Lincoln has voted Democratic in 6 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 1 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Lincoln?
Lincoln's closest recorded margin was in 2016, when Hillary Clinton (Democratic) won by 2.6 points (514 votes) out of 21,503 total votes cast.
Has Lincoln ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Lincoln changed which party won the county in: 2004, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Lincoln?
The widest margin on record for Lincoln was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 12.3 points.
How many votes were cast in Lincoln relative to its population?
In 2024, 24,003 votes were recorded in Lincoln against a total population of 36,491 (65.8% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Lincoln a presidential bellwether county?
Lincoln has matched the national popular winner in 4 of the last 7 presidential elections (57%), and Maine's own statewide winner in 6 of 7 (86%).