Kennebec, Maine — Presidential Election Results
Kennebec, Maine has voted Democratic in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections on record (2000–2024). It most recently flipped to Republican in 2024. In 2024, it was 9.4 pts more Rep. than Maine overall.
Jump to year: 2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2020 · 2024
Full Election History, 2000–2024
| Year | Winner | Party | Votes | Vote Share | Margin | Total Votes Cast | Swing | Vs. Maine |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Al Gore | Democratic | 31,198 | 53.0% | 12.3 pts (7,231 votes) | 58,907 | — | 7.6 pts more Dem. |
| 2004 | John Kerry | Democratic | 33,167 | 52.8% | 7.6 pts (4,804 votes) | 62,831 | -5.3 pts | 0.4 pts more Rep. |
| 2008 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 37,238 | 56.4% | 14.8 pts (9,756 votes) | 65,986 | +7.3 pts | 2.6 pts more Rep. |
| 2012 | Barack Obama | Democratic | 35,068 | 55.2% | 13.5 pts (8,549 votes) | 63,497 | -1.2 pts | 1.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2016 | Donald Trump | Republican | 31,675 | 47.8% | 3.6 pts (2,373 votes) | 66,208 | -17.8 pts | 6.8 pts more Rep. |
| 2020 | Joseph R Biden Jr | Democratic | 34,902 | 48.1% | 0.2 pts (181 votes) | 72,615 | +4.2 pts | 8.7 pts more Rep. |
| 2024 | Donald J Trump | Republican | 36,589 | 50.2% | 2.7 pts (2,004 votes) | 72,886 | -3.1 pts | 9.4 pts more Rep. |
Population Context
Total Census Bureau population estimate for the county that year, and recorded votes as a share of that total population. This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
| Year | County Population | Votes Cast (% of Population) |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 117,177 | 50.3% of population |
| 2004 | 120,303 | 52.2% of population |
| 2008 | 122,147 | 54.0% of population |
| 2012 | 121,591 | 52.2% of population |
| 2016 | 121,497 | 54.5% of population |
| 2020 | 124,723 | 58.2% of population |
| 2024 | 128,461 | 56.7% of population |
Trend
Between 2000 and 2024, the two-party presidential margin in Kennebec shifted 15.9 points toward the Republican candidate, based on recorded county returns. This reflects the vote totals in this dataset only; no claim is made here about the causes of that shift.
Margin Over Time
Democratic candidate's margin (percentage points, two-party vote share). Positive values favor the Democratic candidate; negative values favor the Republican candidate.
Bellwether Status
Kennebec has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Maine's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%). Compare every county on the bellwether counties page.
Related Pages
Other Maine Counties
Frequently Asked Questions
How has Kennebec voted in presidential elections since 2000?
Since 2000, Kennebec has voted Democratic in 5 of 7 recorded presidential elections and Republican in 2 of 7, based on county-level returns through 2024.
What was the closest presidential election in Kennebec?
Kennebec's closest recorded margin was in 2020, when Joseph R Biden Jr (Democratic) won by 0.3 points (181 votes) out of 72,615 total votes cast.
Has Kennebec ever flipped between parties?
Yes. Kennebec changed which party won the county in: 2016, 2020, 2024, based on the 2000-2024 record on this page.
What is the largest presidential election margin recorded in Kennebec?
The widest margin on record for Kennebec was in 2008, when Barack Obama (Democratic) won by 15.1 points.
How many votes were cast in Kennebec relative to its population?
In 2024, 72,886 votes were recorded in Kennebec against a total population of 128,461 (56.7% of the total population). This is a population-based figure, not a turnout rate against eligible or registered voters, which this site does not calculate.
Is Kennebec a presidential bellwether county?
Kennebec has matched the national popular winner in 5 of the last 7 presidential elections (71%), and Maine's own statewide winner in 5 of 7 (71%).